| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.47 | 78.5% | 60.00 | 20.9% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.79 | 77.1% | 60.00 | 22.2% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.43 | 75.9% | 43.60 | 23.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.40 | 74.6% | 60.00 | 24.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.03 | 73.1% | 58.49 | 26.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.99 | 71.4% | 60.00 | 27.7% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.12 | 69.7% | 60.00 | 29.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →