| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.70 | 49.6% | 32.59 | 49.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.31 | 48.3% | 17.07 | 51.2% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.12 | 47.2% | 25.09 | 52.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.50 | 45.2% | 49.95 | 53.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →