| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.91 | 66.1% | 30.99 | 66.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.06 | 64.5% | 60.00 | 65.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.34 | 62.3% | 60.00 | 63.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.09 | 59.9% | 60.00 | 61.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 74.51 | 57.8% | 43.09 | 58.7% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.45 | 56.0% | 43.90 | 56.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →