| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.78 | 30.3% | 14.15 | 30.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.46 | 29.3% | 11.58 | 29.8% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.39 | 28.2% | 21.24 | 28.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.81 | 72.2% | 24.43 | 27.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 232.30 | 25.8% | 60.00 | 28.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →