| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.58 | 68.6% | 13.43 | 68.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.01 | 67.4% | 60.00 | 68.4% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.75 | 65.4% | 60.00 | 66.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.94 | 63.6% | 42.56 | 64.3% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.78 | 61.8% | 53.61 | 62.8% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.77 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 60.7% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.19 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 58.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →