| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.43 | 43.5% | 16.71 | 44.0% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.66 | 42.2% | 27.30 | 43.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 151.47 | 39.6% | 60.00 | 41.4% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 167.25 | 35.9% | 60.00 | 37.8% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 188.08 | 31.9% | 60.00 | 34.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →