| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.92 | 77.1% | 24.60 | 22.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.69 | 76.3% | 43.24 | 23.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.57 | 75.6% | 16.30 | 24.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.63 | 75.2% | 14.76 | 24.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.39 | 74.3% | 51.58 | 25.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.93 | 73.3% | 29.99 | 26.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 125.24 | 25.9% | 32.46 | 27.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →