| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.11 | 80.0% | 37.67 | 19.7% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.95 | 79.0% | 52.91 | 20.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.10 | 78.2% | 23.54 | 21.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.64 | 77.3% | 60.00 | 22.0% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.07 | 75.9% | 60.00 | 23.4% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.06 | 74.7% | 35.90 | 24.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.69 | 73.5% | 60.00 | 25.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.55 | 71.8% | 60.00 | 27.3% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.13 | 70.5% | 31.81 | 29.0% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.42 | 69.1% | 56.99 | 30.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →