| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 137.20 | 43.7% | 60.00 | 54.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 149.07 | 40.2% | 60.00 | 58.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 164.16 | 36.5% | 60.00 | 61.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.72 | 33.9% | 21.63 | 65.3% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.29 | 66.6% | 11.51 | 66.8% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.30 | 65.8% | 37.02 | 66.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.69 | 64.0% | 60.00 | 65.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.06 | 61.8% | 60.00 | 63.0% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.92 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 60.7% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.75 | 57.2% | 46.23 | 58.2% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.27 | 54.9% | 60.00 | 56.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →