| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.16 | 75.2% | 15.92 | 24.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.04 | 74.8% | 15.00 | 25.0% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.65 | 74.5% | 11.66 | 25.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.57 | 73.6% | 60.00 | 25.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.86 | 72.3% | 32.44 | 27.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.46 | 71.1% | 50.13 | 28.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.43 | 69.9% | 33.86 | 29.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.05 | 68.7% | 42.65 | 30.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.86 | 67.3% | 44.35 | 31.9% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.48 | 65.6% | 60.00 | 33.4% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.54 | 63.5% | 60.00 | 35.4% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.04 | 61.2% | 60.00 | 37.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →