| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.83 | 43.4% | 8.61 | 43.7% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.33 | 42.2% | 35.13 | 43.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.09 | 40.4% | 26.27 | 41.1% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.78 | 59.2% | 59.09 | 39.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.01 | 57.8% | 9.83 | 42.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.59 | 56.3% | 60.00 | 42.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.30 | 44.3% | 24.52 | 45.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →