| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.75 | 47.3% | 60.00 | 48.9% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.38 | 45.5% | 10.18 | 45.8% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.75 | 54.6% | 7.51 | 45.2% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.75 | 54.3% | 5.84 | 45.5% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.35 | 53.8% | 16.33 | 45.8% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 23.40 | 46.3% | 10.83 | 46.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →