| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.23 | 69.7% | 38.47 | 29.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.11 | 68.2% | 53.97 | 30.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.15 | 66.4% | 57.86 | 32.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.24 | 64.3% | 60.00 | 34.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.41 | 62.2% | 56.25 | 36.7% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.08 | 60.0% | 60.00 | 38.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.98 | 58.5% | 9.94 | 41.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →