| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.49 | 82.4% | 13.58 | 17.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.46 | 17.4% | 8.10 | 17.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.71 | 82.7% | 24.57 | 17.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.56 | 82.1% | 45.60 | 17.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.79 | 81.2% | 47.74 | 18.3% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.95 | 80.6% | 14.47 | 19.2% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.70 | 19.1% | 10.26 | 19.5% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.98 | 80.8% | 56.52 | 18.7% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.13 | 80.0% | 18.51 | 19.8% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.95 | 19.8% | 9.09 | 20.1% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.99 | 80.1% | 47.26 | 19.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →