| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.07 | 73.1% | 60.00 | 26.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.98 | 71.4% | 60.00 | 27.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.11 | 69.7% | 60.00 | 29.4% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.49 | 67.8% | 60.00 | 31.2% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.17 | 65.8% | 60.00 | 33.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.20 | 63.7% | 60.00 | 35.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.64 | 61.5% | 60.00 | 37.4% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.58 | 59.1% | 60.00 | 39.7% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.13 | 56.5% | 60.00 | 42.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →