| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.55 | 82.0% | 17.68 | 17.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.89 | 81.8% | 12.18 | 18.1% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.34 | 81.5% | 15.77 | 18.3% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.01 | 81.2% | 18.68 | 18.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.61 | 18.4% | 13.38 | 19.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.57 | 81.6% | 53.52 | 17.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.97 | 18.4% | 11.94 | 18.9% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.48 | 82.0% | 12.69 | 17.9% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.51 | 81.7% | 15.95 | 18.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →