| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.56 | 19.5% | 9.06 | 19.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.79 | 80.7% | 24.84 | 19.1% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.79 | 80.1% | 27.88 | 19.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.21 | 79.4% | 43.06 | 20.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 171.27 | 19.6% | 33.64 | 21.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →