| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.55 | 78.4% | 16.90 | 21.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.22 | 77.7% | 45.26 | 21.8% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.78 | 76.9% | 32.88 | 22.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.21 | 75.8% | 60.00 | 23.5% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.03 | 74.5% | 40.26 | 25.0% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.01 | 73.5% | 40.41 | 26.0% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.23 | 72.1% | 60.00 | 27.1% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.27 | 70.4% | 60.00 | 28.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →