| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.62 | 37.7% | 15.71 | 38.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.66 | 62.4% | 20.37 | 37.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.10 | 61.4% | 32.58 | 38.0% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.18 | 60.2% | 26.59 | 39.3% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.51 | 40.1% | 8.62 | 40.3% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.78 | 59.0% | 60.00 | 39.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →