| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.44 | 80.6% | 60.00 | 18.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.11 | 79.6% | 43.06 | 20.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.44 | 78.5% | 60.00 | 20.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.04 | 77.6% | 21.76 | 22.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.26 | 76.7% | 60.00 | 22.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.57 | 75.5% | 38.93 | 24.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →