| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.02 | 28.1% | 6.74 | 28.3% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.81 | 71.6% | 43.52 | 27.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.82 | 70.8% | 10.49 | 29.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.61 | 28.4% | 26.86 | 29.4% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 238.60 | 25.1% | 60.00 | 27.4% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.10 | 22.3% | 15.44 | 22.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.73 | 77.9% | 28.63 | 21.7% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.81 | 77.3% | 29.99 | 22.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →