| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.48 | 64.1% | 11.20 | 35.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.43 | 63.5% | 20.59 | 36.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.96 | 62.1% | 53.99 | 36.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.14 | 38.6% | 10.48 | 38.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.69 | 60.7% | 52.00 | 38.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.95 | 58.9% | 38.24 | 40.3% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.95 | 57.1% | 47.90 | 41.9% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.39 | 55.1% | 39.37 | 44.0% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.87 | 53.2% | 45.68 | 45.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →