| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.36 | 75.0% | 31.75 | 24.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.32 | 73.8% | 60.00 | 25.4% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.86 | 72.7% | 20.26 | 27.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.81 | 71.6% | 60.00 | 27.6% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.85 | 70.4% | 21.02 | 29.3% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.65 | 69.3% | 51.06 | 29.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →