| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.61 | 55.0% | 13.53 | 55.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.09 | 54.2% | 21.72 | 54.7% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.16 | 52.3% | 57.62 | 53.7% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.08 | 50.2% | 29.16 | 50.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.46 | 48.4% | 42.32 | 49.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →