| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.19 | 72.7% | 49.57 | 26.6% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.32 | 71.7% | 25.31 | 28.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.92 | 28.1% | 17.66 | 28.7% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.66 | 71.7% | 60.00 | 27.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.75 | 70.0% | 60.00 | 29.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.25 | 68.7% | 26.26 | 30.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →