| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.91 | 36.2% | 17.33 | 63.3% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.06 | 34.5% | 34.17 | 64.4% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.10 | 66.4% | 14.67 | 66.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.76 | 65.6% | 28.07 | 66.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.99 | 64.9% | 12.98 | 65.2% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.57 | 64.2% | 26.06 | 64.7% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.95 | 63.5% | 13.94 | 63.8% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.56 | 62.1% | 60.00 | 63.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.32 | 59.8% | 58.81 | 61.0% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.81 | 58.2% | 18.53 | 58.6% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.72 | 41.8% | 12.83 | 57.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →