| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.59 | 53.6% | 15.85 | 46.1% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.98 | 52.9% | 14.79 | 46.8% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.56 | 51.0% | 60.00 | 47.5% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 124.98 | 48.0% | 60.00 | 50.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →