| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.32 | 58.3% | 49.17 | 40.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.20 | 56.0% | 60.00 | 42.7% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.68 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 45.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 119.16 | 50.4% | 60.00 | 48.2% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 126.90 | 47.3% | 60.00 | 51.1% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 136.30 | 44.0% | 60.00 | 54.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →