| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.33 | 40.4% | 12.66 | 40.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.95 | 59.7% | 15.48 | 40.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.00 | 59.2% | 5.92 | 40.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.77 | 58.2% | 42.94 | 40.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 11.21 | 42.6% | 4.77 | 42.7% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.03 | 42.1% | 12.21 | 42.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →