| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.32 | 82.0% | 39.60 | 17.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.05 | 81.0% | 60.00 | 18.4% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.59 | 79.9% | 58.78 | 19.5% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.30 | 78.6% | 60.00 | 20.7% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.60 | 77.3% | 60.00 | 22.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →