| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.94 | 78.3% | 53.16 | 21.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.54 | 77.3% | 30.57 | 22.3% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.85 | 76.7% | 25.19 | 23.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.02 | 76.1% | 27.40 | 23.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 7.65 | 75.7% | 5.79 | 24.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.17 | 74.8% | 60.00 | 24.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.87 | 73.3% | 60.00 | 25.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →