| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.04 | 77.9% | 60.00 | 21.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.43 | 76.5% | 57.74 | 22.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.84 | 75.4% | 39.83 | 24.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.96 | 74.1% | 60.00 | 25.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 167.61 | 25.1% | 42.03 | 26.7% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 142.02 | 22.3% | 31.64 | 23.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →