| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.26 | 61.7% | 40.85 | 37.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.93 | 38.8% | 11.99 | 39.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 155.25 | 36.6% | 56.80 | 38.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.12 | 34.2% | 17.83 | 34.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.24 | 66.2% | 8.77 | 33.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.27 | 33.3% | 19.39 | 33.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.84 | 32.2% | 13.46 | 32.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →