| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.31 | 74.1% | 29.13 | 25.5% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.10 | 73.4% | 23.56 | 26.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.52 | 72.6% | 32.34 | 26.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.13 | 71.9% | 22.38 | 27.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →