| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.91 | 56.1% | 60.00 | 57.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.34 | 53.4% | 60.00 | 54.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.88 | 47.4% | 22.69 | 52.0% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.33 | 52.2% | 43.47 | 53.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.70 | 50.5% | 23.60 | 51.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.65 | 49.4% | 20.59 | 50.0% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.71 | 47.9% | 40.54 | 48.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.25 | 46.3% | 17.72 | 46.8% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.33 | 44.4% | 53.81 | 45.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →