| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.60 | 61.3% | 21.20 | 61.7% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.57 | 59.7% | 60.00 | 60.9% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.54 | 58.0% | 20.04 | 58.4% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.43 | 57.1% | 24.22 | 57.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →