| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.70 | 31.0% | 29.97 | 32.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.85 | 28.9% | 28.89 | 30.0% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.80 | 27.5% | 10.68 | 27.9% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.86 | 26.8% | 9.87 | 27.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →