| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.79 | 36.9% | 44.98 | 38.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.76 | 34.5% | 31.64 | 35.5% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 191.29 | 31.4% | 60.00 | 33.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.68 | 28.3% | 29.86 | 29.3% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.58 | 72.1% | 48.03 | 27.2% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.99 | 70.6% | 60.00 | 28.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →