| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.05 | 55.8% | 34.09 | 43.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.41 | 54.5% | 24.22 | 44.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.30 | 53.0% | 40.99 | 46.0% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.82 | 51.9% | 7.69 | 47.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.93 | 51.4% | 13.83 | 48.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →