| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.66 | 54.0% | 11.15 | 45.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.74 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 46.3% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.23 | 50.4% | 19.26 | 49.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 124.08 | 48.4% | 60.00 | 50.1% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.74 | 45.7% | 41.45 | 53.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →