| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.73 | 71.3% | 45.45 | 28.0% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.01 | 69.8% | 60.00 | 29.3% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.38 | 67.9% | 60.00 | 31.2% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.04 | 65.9% | 60.00 | 33.1% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.15 | 64.4% | 29.06 | 35.1% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.65 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 36.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.30 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 38.4% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.88 | 58.5% | 36.19 | 40.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.34 | 56.4% | 60.00 | 42.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.