| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.72 | 80.3% | 56.77 | 19.2% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.86 | 79.1% | 60.00 | 20.3% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.54 | 78.0% | 44.86 | 21.5% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.15 | 76.8% | 60.00 | 22.5% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.63 | 75.3% | 60.00 | 23.9% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.38 | 74.1% | 37.34 | 25.4% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.91 | 73.5% | 10.22 | 26.4% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.71 | 72.5% | 60.00 | 26.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.69 | 70.8% | 60.00 | 28.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.