| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.32 | 57.5% | 27.22 | 58.1% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.60 | 56.6% | 16.75 | 56.9% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.10 | 43.3% | 18.64 | 56.2% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.46 | 56.2% | 48.60 | 57.3% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.60 | 53.8% | 60.00 | 55.1% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.13 | 51.6% | 30.53 | 52.4% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.31 | 50.0% | 36.64 | 50.9% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.78 | 47.8% | 46.78 | 49.1% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.61 | 53.0% | 15.17 | 46.6% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.39 | 52.2% | 19.00 | 47.3% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.16 | 47.5% | 27.17 | 48.2% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 12.32 | 46.7% | 5.75 | 46.8% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.55 | 52.4% | 47.41 | 46.5% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.22 | 48.1% | 27.50 | 48.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.12 | 47.0% | 12.28 | 47.3% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.34 | 52.6% | 28.60 | 46.7% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 129.20 | 46.4% | 60.00 | 48.0% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.91 | 44.0% | 29.88 | 44.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.38 | 56.6% | 8.71 | 43.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.