| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 206.12 | 29.1% | 60.00 | 31.3% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.23 | 72.7% | 22.70 | 27.0% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.56 | 27.4% | 5.64 | 27.6% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.68 | 26.6% | 16.16 | 27.2% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.79 | 73.5% | 32.93 | 26.0% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.63 | 26.1% | 23.09 | 26.9% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.24 | 74.3% | 35.86 | 25.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.74 | 73.3% | 41.60 | 26.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.38 | 72.4% | 27.78 | 27.2% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.14 | 71.6% | 30.16 | 28.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.