| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.18 | 68.9% | 32.53 | 30.6% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.93 | 67.5% | 60.00 | 31.6% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.67 | 65.5% | 60.00 | 33.5% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.76 | 63.3% | 60.00 | 35.6% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.51 | 61.1% | 55.94 | 37.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.82 | 59.2% | 41.33 | 40.0% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.14 | 57.4% | 44.85 | 41.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.37 | 55.5% | 40.75 | 43.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.72 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 45.4% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.16 | 50.6% | 48.68 | 48.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 125.38 | 47.9% | 60.00 | 50.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.