| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.44 | 86.4% | 24.58 | 13.4% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.33 | 86.0% | 32.98 | 13.7% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.63 | 85.6% | 28.79 | 14.2% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.22 | 85.0% | 52.89 | 14.6% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.08 | 84.2% | 50.59 | 15.4% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.05 | 83.5% | 32.62 | 16.2% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.08 | 82.8% | 58.01 | 16.7% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.69 | 81.9% | 39.07 | 17.7% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.46 | 81.3% | 23.96 | 18.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.84 | 80.8% | 34.61 | 18.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.14 | 79.9% | 60.00 | 19.5% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.33 | 78.6% | 60.00 | 20.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.09 | 77.4% | 47.30 | 22.0% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.04 | 76.3% | 50.39 | 23.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.