| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.21 | 69.7% | 49.65 | 29.5% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.65 | 68.6% | 24.45 | 31.0% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.26 | 67.2% | 60.00 | 31.8% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.04 | 65.2% | 60.00 | 33.8% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.18 | 63.0% | 60.00 | 35.9% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.76 | 60.8% | 60.00 | 38.1% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.09 | 59.1% | 24.86 | 40.4% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.37 | 58.3% | 14.20 | 41.4% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.07 | 57.3% | 30.98 | 42.0% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.69 | 56.1% | 23.40 | 43.4% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.62 | 54.2% | 60.00 | 44.4% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.71 | 51.4% | 60.00 | 47.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 123.96 | 48.4% | 60.00 | 50.0% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 132.71 | 45.2% | 60.00 | 53.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.92 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 56.4% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.15 | 52.9% | 36.04 | 53.7% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.23 | 51.2% | 34.42 | 52.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.