| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 74.20 | 46.4% | 34.45 | 47.3% |
| 56 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.45 | 53.7% | 32.49 | 45.5% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.28 | 46.5% | 19.65 | 47.0% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.35 | 53.4% | 27.95 | 46.0% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.00 | 51.3% | 60.00 | 47.3% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.91 | 49.3% | 22.12 | 50.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.28 | 48.4% | 12.71 | 51.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.