| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.02 | 86.2% | 49.14 | 13.5% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.74 | 85.6% | 39.13 | 14.2% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.69 | 84.9% | 55.74 | 14.7% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.47 | 84.0% | 60.00 | 15.6% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.21 | 83.3% | 22.66 | 16.5% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.83 | 82.6% | 54.39 | 16.9% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.63 | 81.9% | 28.36 | 17.9% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.96 | 81.1% | 55.12 | 18.4% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.72 | 80.0% | 59.77 | 19.4% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.18 | 78.8% | 60.00 | 20.6% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.23 | 77.8% | 28.96 | 21.9% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.94 | 77.3% | 18.50 | 22.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.