| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.43 | 58.9% | 44.43 | 59.8% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.11 | 56.8% | 57.38 | 58.0% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.84 | 54.1% | 60.00 | 55.5% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.32 | 51.9% | 36.48 | 52.8% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.36 | 48.4% | 21.97 | 51.0% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.45 | 50.7% | 60.00 | 52.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.55 | 48.5% | 27.41 | 49.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 130.03 | 46.1% | 60.00 | 47.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.